Why This Model Is Not An Official Forecast

Only official Alberta budget documents, fiscal updates, and public accounts should be treated as official fiscal reporting.

This site is independent and is intended to help readers understand sensitivity, not to replace government releases.

The model makes key assumptions visible and lets users quickly test how major variables can move the estimated balance.

That is useful for journalism, policy discussion, classroom explanation, and public understanding.

It does not model every tax line, department expense, policy change, accounting entry, or cash-flow timing issue.

Its outputs should be cited as modeled scenarios, not forecasts.